HEADACHE MINERALS
So let’s rebrand the conundrum – let’s discuss headache minerals moderately than essential minerals. The issue? That doesn’t sound almost as attractive.
Clearly, if one is within the enterprise of getting learn and constructing a model, as assume tanks and lobbyists are, the very worst attainable headline for a pamphlet, analysis paper – or, God forbid, opinion column – is one which concludes “all is essentially tremendous”. One might as a substitute write “please, don’t learn this” and go residence.
However that doesn’t appeal to eyeballs. As an alternative, as we speak’s influencers will give attention to worst-case situations: provide chain Armageddon.
When will the scarcity of essential minerals hit? “Quickly.” How unhealthy wouldn’t it be? “Extreme” sounds about proper, however greatest to say “damaging”. What and who will probably be affected? Level to the whole lot and everybody, however in the event you actually wish to be learn within the White Home – and that’s a should – say “nationwide safety”. What’s the mineral at subject? Choose essentially the most obscure ingredient from the periodic desk, and name it “essential”, “strategic”, or, even higher, “uncommon”.
The Heritage Basis, a Washington assume tank near the Trump administration, produced a paper in December 2024 warning about potential shortages of essential minerals undermining the defence business. Sarcastically, the paper sounds very very like the same one the assume tank printed in 1981, additionally warning about shortages.
One other Washington assume tank, the Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research, printed its personal report, flagging a “nationwide safety crucial” in essential minerals akin to lithium iron phosphate.
We merely don’t know what American engineers will invent subsequent. However we will safely assume they’ll attempt to exchange no matter is in short-supply and costly.