COMMENT: I had assumed you have been only a Trump supporter. It has been emphasised that I used to be fallacious and that you’re in the course of forecasting the occasions economically. I used to be advised you latterly mentioned that Trump may go down as Herbert Hoover and that he can not stop the recession from occurring. Would you please elaborate on this and why you might be within the center to start with. That’s uncommon lately.
Thanks in your time.
Doug
ANSWER: The pc forecasts all of those elections worldwide, and it has by no means been fallacious as a result of it’s not partisan; it simply follows the economics. Plain and easy. Any unbiased evaluation will all the time present that for those who flip the financial system down, the folks will vote them out of energy whatever the social gathering. It has all the time been as they are saying, it’s the financial system silly.
I’m anti-Marxist. I went behind the Berlin Wall earlier than it fell, and I used to be known as in by China throughout the 1997 Asian Forex Disaster. So, what I’ve seen has formed my private beliefs. Like climate, an excessive amount of warmth or an excessive amount of chilly and you’ll die. The identical is true in economics. Go into hyperinflation and also you get Germany turning to Hitler, or deflation you get the Nice That’s the reason I’m in the course of the street, I suppose. I see authorities as all the time the issue, for they presume they will manipulate We the Individuals all the time to retain energy. They’re lifeless fallacious.
Now, as for Trump changing into Herbert Hoover II, I’m under no circumstances a Democrat and at occasions, I’m barely a Republican. We’re heading right into a recession that may flip right into a Melancholy for some international locations as a result of we have now a Sovereign Debt Disaster that won’t stay silent for lengthy. Trump and his folks have grabbed the scepter, and so they change into mesmerized by the ability and assume they, too, can dictate the financial system. Sorry, there’s something we name the enterprise cycle, which is world. The primary acknowledged world contagion was the Panic of 1857. We can not ignore the financial situations externally. Trump desires these tariffs to finish the commerce deficits. That’s old-school considering, and it’ll fail. Elevating tariffs will trigger deeper recessions exterior the USA and meaning the US exports will decline. As that declines, it would create a worldwide financial contagion and that may come again to engulf the US financial system.
I can preach till I’m blue within the face. They’ll NEVER hearken to me BECAUSE they’re all caught up in their very own energy. It is sort of a man has a gun, and he says your cash or your life. Are you going to lecture him that weapons are unlawful with out a allow? Good luck on that one.
With all due respect for Trump, that is simply the fallacious time with the dangerous concepts as a result of the disaster is past simply the US. Until you perceive the world financial system as an entire, this won’t finish properly. Trump will hit the bottom operating and should rating some success into 2026. Thereafter, issues will get severe. Sure, the political system and the rule of legislation is full rubbish. It will assist post-2032 with the reform and creation of a greater political-economic system.
That is how the enterprise cycle will unfold. It actually doesn’t matter who’s president. The worldwide financial system will flip down. Kamala and the Democrats would have been a complete catastrophe and we might be in World Battle III very quick. The Democrats mentioned they have been defending democracy towards Trump. They have been truly stating their very own agenda.
Biden was a placeholder – nothing extra. He was not the president making the choices – that was, I consider, the Neocons led by Antony Blinken no totally different that Dick Cheney was actually president below Bush Jr. The Neocons have usurped American international coverage and did every part to push us into World Battle III. This was a coup towards the American those who the press would NEVER cowl, no much less examine. Biden was in a job for which he was unfit as a result of he might be managed by the Neocons. They picked him, which is why you had Republicans for Kamala to maintain that energy play. The Democrats change Biden with Kamala who can be one other placeholder who by no means one a single delegate within the earlier presidential major. She misplaced each battleground state. On a regular basis, the Democrats pushed Biden off the ticket and made her the nominee with out giving voters the slightest say, but had the audacity to assert this election was about Democracy.
The Democrats would mislead your face that Biden was OK. Had the shoe been on the opposite foot, the Republicans would have carried out the identical. Rule #1 in politics is NEVER admit a mistake. I’ve handled extra governments than in all probability any analyst or all of them mixed. I’ve seen contained in the stomach of the beast, and I can not mindlessly be in both social gathering. It should all the time come right down to the conclusion on the finish of the day that it is going to be authorities vs. folks, and historical past will attest to that assertion. If a commentator solely helps one social gathering, you might be listening to a idiot.