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Good morning and welcome again to FirstFT Asia. In at the moment’s publication:
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The US-Indonesia commerce deal
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How BYD caught up with Tesla
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Taiwan’s Han Kuang navy drills
Donald Trump has mentioned the US has reached a commerce cope with Indonesia that can outcome within the south-east Asian nation paying a 19 per cent tariff on its exports to the US and shopping for American power and Boeing jets.
Deal particulars: In a social media put up, Trump wrote that Indonesia had dedicated to purchasing $15bn value of power exports and $4.5bn of agricultural items from the US. It could additionally purchase “50 Boeing Jets, lots of them 777’s”. He additionally instructed reporters Indonesia was “recognized for . . . very high-quality copper, which we can be utilizing” — a remark that comes after he imposed a 50 per cent levy on the steel final week.
Why it issues: The preliminary deal is the primary with the greater than 20 buying and selling companions who final week acquired letters from the US president threatening tariffs (Trump had threatened to impose a 32 per cent levy on Indonesia). However he mentioned yesterday he thought the most recent association — underneath which the US can pay zero tariffs on exports to Indonesia — was “a very good deal for each events”. Here are more details.
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US-China commerce information: Commerce secretary Howard Lutnick mentioned Washington’s reversal of restrictions on gross sales of chips to China adopted latest commerce negotiations with Beijing over uncommon earths.
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US-EU: Brussels plans to impose tariffs on Boeing aircraft, cars and bourbon as a part of a proposal for additional retaliation towards €72bn of annual US imports if commerce talks with Washington fail.
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Opinion: As Trump returns to tariffs, Martin Wolf asks, what is to be done about this insanity?
Right here’s what else we’re preserving tabs on at the moment:
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Financial coverage: Indonesia’s central financial institution pronounces its rate of interest determination.
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China: The four-day Worldwide Provide Chain Expo begins in Beijing, with AI chipmaker Nvidia collaborating for the primary time.
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Outcomes: Tech Mahindra, ASML, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report earnings.
5 extra high tales
1. China’s economic system expanded 5.2 per cent yr on yr within the second quarter because the world’s greatest exporter shrugged off the affect of Trump’s commerce battle. The speed, which beat analysts’ expectations, reveals how China has been capable of hold progress on observe by means of exports and funding even as it struggles with weak demand at home.
2. The UK authorities arrange a secret multibillion-pound scheme to relocate hundreds of Afghans to Britain after a knowledge leak put them prone to reprisals from the Taliban — and gagged the media with a super-injunction. The names, contact data and different private particulars of about 25,000 Afghans had been accidentally disclosed by a British soldier in emails in February 2022.
3. Donald Trump has privately inspired Ukraine to step up deep strikes on Russian territory, even asking Volodymyr Zelenskyy whether he could strike Moscow if the US offered long-range weapons, in line with folks briefed on the discussions.
4. Yields on 10-year Japanese authorities bonds hit their highest stage because the 2008 monetary disaster as markets start to cost within the threat of populist marketing campaign pledges and political uncertainty forward of an election. “The market offered off on the expectation the [ruling Liberal Democratic party] goes to lose its majority within the higher home,” mentioned Wei Li, head of multi-asset funding at BNP Paribas in China. Read the full story.
5. Jamie Dimon has warned that the independence of the US Federal Reserve is “essential” because the Trump administration will increase its stress on Jay Powell, the central financial institution’s chair, to chop rates of interest. The JPMorgan chief’s feedback got here as Treasury secretary Scott Bessent mentioned the “formal process” to select Powell’s successor had begun.
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Wall Road outcomes: JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup struck an upbeat tone on the power of American shoppers, underscoring how the US economic system has remained resilient regardless of Trump’s tariffs.
The Large Learn
China’s BYD is catching up with Tesla and is poised to overhaul its US rival in electrical automobile gross sales for the primary time. Prior to now three years, the Chinese language auto group has narrowed the expertise hole between the 2 carmakers, together with in autonomous driving. Learn what’s powering BYD’s headway in the EV market.
We’re additionally studying . . .
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Taiwan defence: Taiwan’s navy has taken the annual Han Kuang workouts to civilians’ doorsteps this yr, as a part of efforts to higher put together for a Chinese language assault.
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‘Epstein information’: For years Trump insisted on a deep-state plot that solely he might expose. Now he says there is nothing to show, writes Edward Luce.
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Uncommon earths: A small mining firm gained Pentagon backing as Trump sought to counter China and take a brand new method to national defence.
Chart of the day
Chinese language ecommerce giants JD.com and Alibaba have ignited a battle for the nation’s fast-growing on the spot retail market, luring shoppers with huge discounts in a push to seize market share from rival Meituan.
Take a break from the information
Maxed out on matcha lattes? Hojicha, a new Japanese green tea trend, is coming to a café close to you.
