When President Trump positioned new tariffs on China this month, he doubled down on considered one of his high calls for on Beijing: to rein within the chemical corporations fueling the illicit manufacturing and trafficking of fentanyl into america. Mr. Trump has lengthy argued that China is a big contributor to overdoses which have killed more than 400,000 Individuals during the last decade, and he’s proper. For years, Chinese language corporations have equipped the overwhelming majority of the deadly chemical substances that drug cartels world wide use to provide the fentanyl flooding American streets.
However beginning a commerce warfare isn’t an answer to this downside — and will make it worse. Tariffs alone won’t push China’s authorities to assist cut back drug overdose deaths in america. In actual fact, with Beijing already imposing retaliatory tariffs and proclaiming that it’s “ready to fight till the end,” Trump’s blunt-force ways would possibly drive China to cooperate much less on fentanyl, no more. With the stakes as excessive as they’re, American communities can’t afford a miscalculation.
Beginning in 2016, overdose deaths from artificial opioids — primarily fentanyl — started skyrocketing throughout america. When Joe Biden took workplace in early 2021, the variety of such deaths had elevated 30 p.c from the earlier yr, with tens of 1000’s of Individuals killed. In February 2024, my household joined the tons of of 1000’s of American households who’ve misplaced a cherished one to this epidemic when a relative died from a fentanyl overdose. This private tragedy occurred simply two weeks after I joined the State Division to assist lead the Biden administration’s effort to deal with world fentanyl trafficking.
With heightened readability about fentanyl’s devastating impression, I spent the previous yr serving to lead the U.S. diplomatic offensive to curtail Chinese language corporations’ position as the worldwide suppliers of the precursor chemical substances which might be used to make unlawful fentanyl. We used each lever of American energy — from regulation enforcement to sanctions to diplomacy — to pursue progress on curbing fentanyl precursors with China’s authorities. And whereas it wasn’t good, it was working.
In 2021, President Biden issued an executive order imposing sanctions on people and corporations engaged within the illicit opioid commerce. His Treasury Division put sanctions on greater than 300 individuals and entities, freezing whole networks of fentanyl suppliers and traffickers out of the worldwide monetary system. In 2023 and 2024, Mr. Biden recognized China as a significant illicit drug-producing nation for its position within the artificial opioid commerce, a blow to the popularity of China’s chemical business.
Concurrently, the Biden administration pushed U.S. regulation enforcement companies to conduct aggressive investigations and construct indictments in opposition to dozens of Chinese language citizens and companies that had been trafficking fentanyl precursor chemical substances into america. The Division of Justice labored intently with overseas governments from Fiji to Morocco to arrest Chinese language traffickers and extradite them to america for prosecution. The primary convictions had been handed down simply final month.
The Biden administration matched these accountability measures with diplomatic motion. In July 2023, Secretary of State Antony Blinken began the Global Coalition to Handle Artificial Drug Threats, rallying greater than 160 nations — not together with China — to step up efforts to fight the artificial drug commerce, successfully aligning the world with Washington’s agenda, not Beijing’s.
This initiative set the stage for President Biden to safe a private dedication from President Xi Jinping to restart counternarcotics cooperation in November 2023 — an important step in China’s hierarchical, authoritarian political system, the place choices about how and when to cooperate with america are managed on the very high. In parallel, China’s authorities issued a public notice to its chemical business that detailed prison punishments for promoting precursor chemical substances that could possibly be used to provide illicit fentanyl and different narcotics.
All through 2024, between multiple cabinet-level meetings and repeated rounds of technical talks, the Biden administration continued to push China to impose new restrictions on the sale of deadly chemical substances and transfer in opposition to prison traffickers. Throughout that point, Beijing positioned new prohibitions on the sale of greater than 50 narcotics and deadly chemicals, and joined america in voting for brand spanking new worldwide regulations on fentanyl precursor chemical substances on the United Nations.
The US pressed China to take the primary joint regulation enforcement motion in opposition to drug trafficking in a number of years, together with the arrest of a key Chinese language trafficker. And China’s authorities started much-needed, albeit piecemeal, efforts to take down the net marketplaces that promote deadly chemical substances to worldwide drug trafficking syndicates.
Can China’s authorities do extra? Completely. It may get critical about curbing the underground banking and monetary crimes that facilitate gross sales of precursor chemical substances. However in combining diplomacy with concrete actions, the Biden administration set the agenda for the way the 2 nations can crack down on illicit fentanyl manufacturing.
And we made progress. Worldwide fentanyl provide chains confirmed indicators of disruption, forcing traffickers to alter sources and tactics. Along with different diplomatic initiatives and an expansive public well being marketing campaign, the variety of deadly fentanyl overdoses in america has dropped. Within the 12 months ending September 2024, overdose deaths were down an estimated 24 p.c from the yr prior. 1000’s of American lives have been saved.
The opioid overdose epidemic is much from over. President Trump now has a chance to attempt to end the job. However to do this, he might want to safe a dedication from Mr. Xi to proceed the work that’s already underway. Mr. Trump can push China to implement current restrictions on its chemical business extra aggressively. He can insist that China totally dismantle the net marketplaces promoting fentanyl precursor chemical substances to transnational prison organizations. And he can name for China to put new restrictions on its delivery business, in order that deadly chemical substances by no means go away its shores.
None of it will occur with tariffs alone. Pressuring the Chinese language authorities is a vital a part of U.S. diplomacy, and tariffs, if deployed skillfully, can present leverage over Beijing because it makes an attempt to handle its struggling financial system. However ramping up strain with no clear diplomatic or authorized highway map might reverse current positive aspects. Chinese language officers have already signaled that the brand new U.S. tariffs “will deal a heavy blow to counternarcotics dialogue and cooperation.”
To make additional progress, Mr. Trump should direct his cupboard to get to work and have interaction within the painstaking diplomacy that shall be essential to avoid wasting extra U.S. lives. No matter political affiliation, all Individuals ought to hope he succeeds.
Brandon P. Yoder was a deputy assistant secretary for worldwide narcotics and regulation enforcement affairs within the Biden administration and a Democratic workers member for the Senate International Relations Committee.
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